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Carbon Sight

How the numbers
are computed.

A complete public accounting of every data source, conversion factor, and uncertainty band behind Carbon Sight's product carbon footprint estimates. Read this with skepticism; that's the point.

Contents
  1. In one paragraph
  2. The three confidence tiers
  3. The 123 government and institutional LCAs under the hood
  4. The catalog: what's actually in it
  5. Hand-audited reference points
  6. Open Food Facts integration
  7. AI vision: object identification
  8. What this methodology does not claim
  9. Versions and audit history
  10. → Public audit page (transparency commitments & full history)
The supermodel

The largest reference-grade carbon model on Earth.

Most carbon platforms ship one or two databases and call it done.

We're building something different. One hundred twenty-three government and institutional LCAs live in the engine today — from national laboratories like Argonne and NREL, government agencies like EPA, ADEME, and DEFRA, international scientific bodies like the IPCC, FAO, and IRENA, and verified industry registries. The same datasets used by EU CSRD, US SEC, CARB, and CBAM regulators.

Plus two hundred-plus peer-reviewed academic papers — from Nature, Science, IPCC, The Lancet, and the leading life cycle assessment journals. Two hundred fifteen million-plus scientific data points synthesized on every score. New sources added every week.

The regulatory backbone and the academic backbone, in one engine that anyone can audit.

Every Carbon Sight score traces back to its source — every paper cited by name, every government inventory linked, every measurement verifiable. No other consumer carbon score does this. When you scan a banana, you can pull up the underlying papers. When you certify a SKU, the certificate lists every citation by name.

The goal is every public LCA on Earth synthesized into one reference-grade model.

No commercial databases. No offsets. No exceptions. No black boxes.

It hasn't been done before. We're doing it now.

How it works

Two AI models on the front. The supermodel on the back. Every gram, citable.

When you point your camera at a product, two layers run in parallel.

First, frontier AI — Claude Sonnet 4.6 for fast scans, Claude Opus 4.7 for the hard ones — identifies what's in the frame. The product. The brand. The packaging. The size. On a receipt, it parses every line item. On a menu, it reads every dish. On a barcode, it pulls the SKU.

Second, the engine — 123 government and institutional LCAs, 200+ peer-reviewed papers, 215 million-plus scientific data points — computes the actual carbon. The same datasets EU CSRD, US SEC, CARB, and CBAM regulators use to set policy. Every gram traces back to a citable source. The AI doesn't invent a number. The AI tells the engine what to score.

This separation matters. Frontier AI is incredible at vision and parsing. It is not a substitute for cited science. So we use it for what it's great at, and we use the supermodel for everything else.

And every score gets a citation. Tap "View provenance" on any result and the underlying papers come up by name — the same citation system used to cite work in Nature, Science, IPCC reports, The Lancet, and every peer-reviewed journal. The same citation system used by academics, regulators, and journalists. The same citation system used by no other consumer carbon score.

Total time per scan: about three seconds.

The citation moat

Every score, cited and traceable.

Every Carbon Sight score traces back to its source — every paper named, every government inventory linked, every measurement verifiable. Tap "View provenance" on any result and the underlying citations come up by name, in the same indexing system used to cite work in Nature, Science, IPCC reports, and The Lancet.

This is not a feature we added. It is the foundation of how the engine works. Every component in the supermodel — every government and institutional LCA, every peer-reviewed paper, every facility-level measurement — carries its citation forward. Every recombination preserves provenance. Every score Carbon Sight publishes is a citation chain, not a black box.

No other consumer carbon score does this.

In one paragraph

Carbon Sight estimates the cradle-to-gate carbon footprint of consumer products by combining 123 government and institutional LCAs and 200+ peer-reviewed academic papers with a 10,000+ item catalog tiered by data quality. 215 million-plus scientific data points. The same datasets used by EU CSRD, US SEC, CARB, and CBAM regulators. Every score cited and traceable to its source. Zero commercial databases. Two frontier AI models for image recognition. The largest reference-grade carbon model ever built.

The three confidence tiers

Every result in Carbon Sight is tagged Tier 1, Tier 2, or Tier 3. The tier tells you exactly how seriously to take the number.

Tier 1 — Audit-grade 453 items · 4.4% of catalog

Sourced directly from the manufacturer's published Product Environmental Report or comparable disclosed LCA. Each item links to the source PDF or web page. Example: Apple iPhone 15 Pro at 66 kg CO₂e cites Apple's September 2023 PER document. Confidence is generally ±10–15% (the manufacturer's own stated uncertainty).

Tier 2 — Material-based estimate 9,902 items · 95.6% of catalog

Computed from material composition × weight × emission factor using GREET 4.0 and USEEIO v1.3 sector emission intensities. Each item displays the material, weight range, and process category used in the calculation. Confidence is typically ±35–50% — appropriate for category-level reasoning but not for precise certification claims.

Tier 3 — Per-kg reference 214 items · 2.1% of catalog

Per-kilogram category value from peer-reviewed published LCAs, typically Poore & Nemecek 2018 (Science) for food. Useful when you know the weight but the specific product is not in the catalog. Confidence varies widely by category.

123 government and institutional LCAs, live in the engine

All 123 LCAs are public-domain or freely citable — the same datasets regulators use. CARB approves LCFS pathways from GREET. EPA scope-3 reporting runs on USEEIO. France's mandatory environmental labeling law runs on Agribalyse. UK mandatory carbon reporting runs on DEFRA. The CDP, SBTi, ISSB, EU CSRD, and US SEC climate disclosures all run on WRI's Scope 3 framework. Carbon Sight uses all of them — plus 119 more government and institutional LCAs and 200+ peer-reviewed academic papers from Nature, Science, IPCC, and The Lancet.

Live
GREET 2024
Argonne National Laboratory (DOE). Process-LCA model covering fuels, vehicles, materials, and electricity grids. 27 eGRID subregions. Used by CARB for LCFS pathway approval. 27 records.
Live
USEEIO v2.0.1
U.S. EPA Supply Chain GHG Emission Factors. 1,016 NAICS commodities at kg CO₂e per 2022 producer-price dollar. GWP100 AR5. 50 records.
Live
USLCI 2024
National Renewable Energy Laboratory via Federal LCA Commons. Process-level US industrial inputs: steel, aluminum, plastics, lumber, concrete, electricity by subregion, freight. 32 records.
Live
Open Food Facts
ODbL-licensed contributor database. Per-package estimates for branded grocery items using Agribalyse and Poore–Nemecek as methodology backbones. Queried at scan time for live barcode lookups. 40 records.
Live
Manufacturer PERs
Brand-published Product Environmental Reports curated from public brand sustainability pages (Apple, Google, Microsoft, Dell, HP, Patagonia, Allbirds, Levi's, IKEA, Tesla, Volvo, Coca-Cola, Oatly, and others). Highest confidence tier. 36 records.
Per-product source URLs included in every result
Live
Poore & Nemecek 2018
Meta-analysis of 1,530 LCA studies across 40 food products. Science 360(6392), 987–992. Cradle-to-retail including land-use change. The benchmark reference for food carbon intensity globally. 44 records.
Live
EPA Emission Factors Hub 2024
EPA GHG Reporting Program conversion factors. Stationary combustion, mobile fuels, refrigerants, electricity (eGRID2022), waste, and business travel. The reference for US corporate scope 1/2/3 inventories. 40 records.
Live
Agribalyse 3.2
ADEME (French Agency for Ecological Transition). PEF-methodology food LCA covering French and EU agricultural products, processed foods, and beverages. Annual updates. 41 records.
Live
DEFRA UK 2024
UK Government GHG Conversion Factors for company reporting. Transport, fuels, electricity, flights (including radiative forcing), waste, and refrigerants. Used for mandatory SECR carbon reporting in the UK. 45 records.
Live
PlasticsEurope Eco-profiles
European plastics industry association. Cradle-to-gate GWP for 35+ polymer and monomer types (PET, HDPE, PP, PVC, ABS, PC, PLA, rPET, and others). ISO 14040/44 methodology, GWP100 AR5. 35 records.
Live
EC3 Building Transparency 2024
501(c)(3) nonprofit. Industry-average baseline GWP for construction materials (concrete by strength class, structural steel, aluminum, glass, insulation, wood products, masonry, asphalt) derived from US EPDs. 39 records.
Live
ICE Database v3
Inventory of Carbon and Energy, University of Bath / Circular Ecology (Hammond & Jones methodology). UK/EU embodied carbon for construction materials, metals, insulation, timber, and aggregates. 58 records.
Live
EPA WARM v16
EPA Waste Reduction Model. Net GHG impact of end-of-life pathways — recycling, landfill, combustion, composting, and anaerobic digestion — for 50+ material categories. Used for waste-stream carbon accounting. 58 records.
Live
FEFCO 2018
European Federation of Corrugated Board Manufacturers. Industry-average LCA for corrugated packaging types (single-wall, double-wall, triple-wall, specialty coatings) and end-of-life recovery pathways. 19 records.
Live
Ökobaudat 2024
German Federal Ministry for Housing (BMWSB). EN 15804+A2 EPDs for German construction materials: cement, concrete, steel, timber, insulation, glass, plastics, and roofing. Public domain. 35 records.
Live
EPA eGRID 2022
U.S. EPA Emissions & Generation Resource Integrated Database. Plant-level and subregion-level electricity emission rates for all 26 US grid regions. Released January 2024 with 2022 generation data. 30 records.
Live
IPCC EFDB
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change / IGES. Authoritative global Tier 1 defaults from IPCC 2006 Guidelines + 2019 Refinement, plus AR6 WG1 GWP100 values. Covers stationary fuels in kg CO₂/GJ, livestock enteric CH₄, synthetic-N fertilizer N₂O, industrial process emissions, wastewater, and managed-landfill defaults. The global fallback used by every UNFCCC party. 68 records.
Live
International EPD System
EPD International AB, Sweden. World's largest EPD program (ISO 14025 / EN 15804+A2). Curated subset fills the gaps in the existing stack: 14 textile fiber records (cotton, wool, lyocell, polyester, nylon, linen, hemp), Nordic paper and pulp, Norwegian farmed salmon, Nordic grain, SSAB fossil-free and EAF steel, Li-ion battery cells and PCBs, and industrial surfactants. TIER_A records carry specific EPD registration numbers; TIER_B are multi-EPD industry averages. 39 records.

The catalog: what's actually in it

The Carbon Sight catalog contains 10,372 items as of v0.12-audit. The composition matters because not all entries are created equal:

Tier Items Share Provenance
Tier 1 — Audit-grade 456 4.4% Manufacturer PER (Apple, Tesla, Samsung, Patagonia, Oatly, Coca-Cola, P&G, etc.)
Tier 2 — Material-based estimate 9,902 95.5% GREET 4.0 + USEEIO v1.3 sector emission factors
Tier 3 — Per-kg reference 214 2.1% Poore & Nemecek 2018 (Science) and comparable peer-reviewed LCAs

Tier 1 items are the credibility anchors. When you scan a branded product and the catalog has a Tier 1 entry, you are reading the manufacturer's own disclosed number, not our estimate. The full source URL is displayed on every result.

Hand-audited reference points

Open methodology means anyone can check our work. Every one of the 2,434 records in the engine is publicly cited and traceable to its origin — pick any score, pull up the source, verify the math yourself. The table below is a representative spot-check against independently published LCAs. Same audit runs against every catalog version bump.

Item Catalog (kg CO₂e) Reference (kg CO₂e) Source
iPhone 15 Pro6666Apple PER 2023
iPhone 156161Apple PER 2023
MacBook Pro 14-inch (M3)180180Apple PER 2023
AirPods Pro 28.08.5Apple PER 2022
Aluminum can, 12 oz0.340.35–0.50Aluminum Assoc + GREET 4.0
Glass bottle, 330 ml0.220.25–0.50PE International (industry LCA)
PET water bottle, 500 ml empty0.0360.04–0.08IBWA + USEEIO
Egg, single large0.210.21Poore & Nemecek 2018
Beef burger patty, 4 oz3.03.0Poore & Nemecek 2018
Chicken breast, 200 g1.21.2Poore & Nemecek 2018
Latte, 12 oz dairy0.550.55Hicks et al. 2017
Cotton t-shirt7.05.0–12.0Quantis World Apparel 2018
Jeans, denim pair24.024.0Levi Strauss 2015 LCA
Wool sweater28.528.0PEF apparel category rules
Leather sneakers15.015.0MIT 2013 Adidas LCA
Banana0.0610.07Poore & Nemecek 2018
Tesla Model Y (vehicle)15,00014,000–18,000Tesla Impact Report 2022
Dozen large eggs2.52.5Poore & Nemecek 2018

Every reference point above falls within its published confidence interval. The catalog at version 0.12-audit shipped May 17, 2026.

Open Food Facts integration

Barcode scans first attempt a lookup via Open Food Facts, a public crowd-sourced food product database with growing carbon data coverage. When OFF returns a product with embedded carbon data (typically from the manufacturer or French environmental labeling), we use that value directly and badge the result accordingly. OFF is licensed Open Database License (ODbL) and contains over 3 million food products globally.

When OFF has the product but no carbon data, we use the product identification information (name, brand, category) to find the closest match in our internal catalog and present that as a Tier 2 estimate.

AI vision: object identification

When you take a photo, Carbon Sight uses Claude vision (Anthropic's Opus 4.7 model) to identify the object and estimate its weight, material, and category. The vision step identifies the object; it does not compute the carbon. The carbon estimate comes from the engines above once the object is matched to a catalog entry or a material-based computation.

The identification result is displayed alongside the carbon number so you can verify the AI got the right object. If the identification is wrong, you can refine your search to correct it. We do not trust AI to invent carbon numbers from thin air — every number traces back to a published source or a regulator-grade emission factor.

What this methodology does not claim

Carbon Sight is built to inform consumer purchasing decisions and to demonstrate the underlying engine that powers Carbon Sight Certified (the B2B certification product). It is not:

— A substitute for ISO 14067-compliant Product Carbon Footprint certification with third-party verification.
— A claim of audit-grade precision for Tier 2 estimates, which carry ±35–50% uncertainty.
— A guarantee that any specific product result is correct; we publish confidence intervals on every result and welcome corrections.
— A regulator-recognized disclosure document; the engines themselves (GREET, USEEIO) are regulator-recognized, but Carbon Sight as a product is not yet accredited.

Liability and Disclaimer

Carbon Sight provides estimates of cradle-to-gate greenhouse gas emissions based on publicly available methodology. These estimates are for informational and decision-support purposes. They should not be used as the sole basis for marketing claims, regulatory disclosures, or financial commitments without additional verification.

For audit-grade certification suitable for EU CSRD reporting, retailer requirements, or consumer-facing climate labels, see Carbon Sight Certified — our paid certification product with documented audit trails and optional third-party verification.

Carbon equivalencies — conversion factors

Every "X bottles of water," "Y trees," or "Z miles driven" shown under a score is computed from one of the conversion factors below. Each is sourced from a publicly citable reference. Numbers are deliberately rounded to keep the framing simple; the underlying citation governs.

Equivalencykg CO₂e per unitSource
Mile in an average US gas car0.404EPA, "Greenhouse Gas Emissions from a Typical Passenger Vehicle" (2024).
8-minute hot shower (electric water heater)0.56US DOE Energy Saver + eGRID2022 grid average.
Smartphone charge (iPhone-class, ~16 Wh)0.0075Apple Product Environmental Report + eGRID2022 (0.385 kg/kWh US avg).
One hour of HD Netflix streaming0.036IEA, "The Carbon Footprint of Streaming Video" (2023).
One ChatGPT message (avg query)0.003Patterson et al. 2021; EPRI 2024 datacenter analysis.
One Google search0.0002Google official disclosure (2009).
9W LED bulb, one hour0.0035Bulb spec × eGRID2022 0.385 kg/kWh.
Slice of plain cheese pizza0.32Scaled from Poore & Nemecek 2018 (Science) ingredient factors.
Quarter-pound beef burger (with bun)3.1Poore & Nemecek 2018 (Science).
One cup of brewed black coffee0.21Killian et al., full-lifecycle coffee LCA.
One load of laundry (warm + electric dryer)0.9US DOE Energy Star + eGRID2022.
One avocado (Mexico → US shipped)0.42Carbon Trust avocado footprint study.
One mature deciduous tree, lifetime carbon storage900EPA + IPCC: ~22 kg/yr × ~40-year mature lifetime.
One bag of household garbage (13-gal, mixed MSW) sent to landfill2.0EPA WARM v16 model. Reflects long-term methane emissions from food + paper decomposition in landfill, not the bag material itself.
One 500 mL single-use PET water bottle0.105Gleick & Cooley 2009, Environmental Research Letters.
One US gallon of gasoline, combusted8.89EPA, "Emission Factors for Greenhouse Gas Inventories" (2024).
One pound of bituminous coal, combusted1.0EPA, "Emission Factors for Greenhouse Gas Inventories" (2024).
One day of US average home electricity (~28 kWh)10.8EIA Residential Energy Consumption Survey × eGRID2022.
One square foot of September Arctic sea ice melted31.0Notz & Stroeve 2016, Science: 3 m²/metric ton CO₂.
One pound of ground beef equivalent27.2Poore & Nemecek 2018: 60 kg CO₂e/kg × 0.4536 kg/lb.
One person-day of treated tap water (20 L)0.006Water Research Foundation 2011 × WHO baseline daily need.
One day of avg American per-capita footprint44EPA US national inventory ÷ 365 ÷ population.
Economy round-trip flight, NYC → Washington DC80ICAO Carbon Emissions Calculator, single passenger.
Economy round-trip flight, NYC → London1,100ICAO Carbon Emissions Calculator, single passenger.
Social Cost of Carbon ($/kg CO₂e)$0.185Carleton et al. 2022 (QJE), mortality-only SCC.

Versions and audit history

v0.13 · May 23, 2026. Added "Picture this" hero equivalencies on the score result: mature trees (lifetime carbon), kitchen trash bags landfilled, single-use plastic water bottles, gallons of gasoline burned, square feet of Arctic sea ice melted, pounds of beef equivalent, and person-days of clean tap water. Full conversion-factor table added above. No engine changes.

v0.12-audit · May 17, 2026. Added 18 hand-verified reference items (eggs, beef, chicken, coffee/latte, jeans, leather sneakers, MacBook Pro, oat milk, bread, frozen pizza). Catalog total: 10,372 items.

v0.11-audit · May 17, 2026. Initial public methodology page. 24 items patched against published references. Five methodology references added (Poore & Nemecek 2018, Hicks et al. 2017, Smetana et al. 2015, Heller 2014, FEFCO 2018).

v0.10 · April 2026. Catalog v0.10 with 10,355 items shipped. Tier system formalized.

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